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Now that the S & P 500 and most major stock market indexes are at or near historic highs, expect a raft of earnings and year-end price target revisions for the S & P 500 to be coming. First up with an upward revision was Brian Belski at BMO Capital, who Wednesday raised his year-end S & P target to 5,600 from 5,100. The median price target (half above, half below) is 5,200. Earnings for the rest of the year have been remarkably stable, but the key point is that each quarter is higher and a record for S & P 500 profits: 2024 S & P 500 quarterly earnings estimates Q2: $59.46 (record) Q3: $63.49 (record) Q4: $65.08 (record) Source: LSEG Valuations (roughly 20 times forward S & P 500 earnings) are pricey but not unreasonable given the continuing strength of the economy and the prospects of AI-boosted returns. May: market advance broadens (advance/decline line) S & P 500: near new high S & P Mid Cap: new high S & P Small Cap: highest since Dec.
Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Brian Belski, Belski, Subramanian, Venu Krishna, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Lori Calvasina, Manish, Nicolaus, Barry Banniester, Jonathan Golub, Chris Harvey, Dubravko, Bujas, Cantor Fitzgerald, Eric Johnson, Scott Chronert, Julian Emanuel, Fundstrat, Tom Lee, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Hugo Ste, Stovall Organizations: BMO Capital, Wall, of America, Barclays, BMO, RBC, Societe Generale, UBS, Bloomberg, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, ISI, JPMorgan, Scotiabank, @VX Locations: Wells Fargo, Marie
Investing can be intimidating, but financial planners recommend index funds to make things easier. Index funds are generally low-cost, but make sure you understand what fees are involved. Instead, experts have a suggestion to reduce the overwhelm for new and experienced investors alike: total stock market index funds, which give you exposure to the stock market more broadly. AdvertisementWhen you're picking your total market index fund, keep in mind that many of the funds are tracking the same indexes. Susan Dziubinski, an investment specialist at investment research firm Morningstar, identified total market funds as one of the five best ways to invest money.
Persons: Bryan Hasling, Hasling, there's, Charles Schwab, Susan Dziubinski, Morningstar, Dziubinski, doesn't Organizations: Apple, Financial, Fidelity Investments, Wall Street Locations: U.S
It aligned with the life-changing money advice he received from a boss in his early 20s. The stock market: from tech stocks to low-cost index fundsCooper's investment strategy has evolved over the years. AdvertisementTo lower his risk, "I am in the process of transitioning my portfolio to mostly low-cost index funds, which are very popular among the FI community." "They're all paid off and bring in about $65,000 a year in rent," he said, adding that they played an important role in his early retirement. Advertisement"I think the easier route is to invest in low-cost index funds," he said, noting that the playbook is much simpler.
Persons: , Eric Cooper, I'd, Cooper, Cooper's, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Roth IRA, FI Locations: Louisville, Egypt
Stock futures were little changed as Wall Street braced for April's consumer price index. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 17 points, while S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures hovered near the flatline. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.32%. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect the consumer price index to show a 0.4% monthly gain, or a 0.3% increase excluding food and energy. Tuesday's producer price index for April contributed to that narrative, showing a 0.5% gain in wholesale prices, above the 0.3% estimate from Dow Jones.
Persons: Nextracker, Dow Jones, Tom Lee Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Investors, Federal, Dow, Fundstrat Global, Cisco Systems Locations: New York City
Skynesher | E+ | Getty ImagesFewer homeowners have been taking on remodeling projects, reports show. The Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity, an outlook measuring home improvement and repair spending on owner-occupied homes, peaked at 17.3% in the third quarter of 2022. The NAHB/Westlake Royal Remodeling Market Index by the National Association of Home Builders reflects a similar decline. In a release for the group's first quarter report, NAHB Remodelers Chair Mike Pressgrove noted that "demand for remodeling remains solid, especially among customers who don't need to finance theirprojects at current interest rates." The increase in home improvement spending, along the decrease in projects, suggests inflation corroded household budgets, according to the home services website.
Persons: Robert Dietz, NAHB, Mike Pressgrove, remodelers, That's, It's, Redfin Organizations: Getty, Westlake Royal, National Association of Home Builders, RMI, NAHB, Homeowners, State, Angi Locations: U.S
Gen Z is getting hit hard by inflation
  + stars: | 2024-05-12 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
For Gen Z, it was the Covid-19 pandemic. Why are we seeing that Gen Z is tapping into their credit more than their Millennial counterparts 10 years ago? Most Gen Z consumers are not homeowners. And so I think that’s been a big cause of what’s been driving a lot of that financial strain that Gen Z consumers have seen. The key is to not use the personal loans to pay off credit card debt and then run your credit card bills right back up after you do that.
Persons: TransUnion, Zers, Millennials, Gen Zers, Bell, Charlie Wise, we’ve, haven’t, You’re, Rishi Sunak, Hanna Ziady, Anna Cooban, Philip Jefferson, Loretta Mester, Jack, Neel Kashkari Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Gross, Office, National Statistics, Bank of England, P, Federal, Cleveland Fed, Depot, US Labor Department, Cisco Systems, US Commerce Department, National Association of Home Builders, Index, Minneapolis, Walmart, Applied, Co, Baidu, Board Locations: New York, Kingdom, Wells Fargo
Citigroup analysts upgraded India to "overweight" from "neutral" in their emerging markets allocation on Friday, citing strong earnings and economic growth momentum. It also attributed India's one-year forward price-to-earnings (P/E) of 20x, which is slightly higher than the long-term averages, to a stable earnings trajectory. The brokerage remains "overweight" on India's banks, insurers, public sector enterprises, autos and capital goods companies among others. Citi downgraded China to "neutral" from "overweight", saying the recent rally in its stock markets occurred despite weakening fundamentals. Citi reiterated its "overweight" rating on Taiwan and Korea, maintaining "underweight" on Latin American countries.
Persons: Surendra Goyal Organizations: Hong, Citigroup, Citi, Jefferies, Asia Locations: India, China, Asia Pacific, Japan, Taiwan, Korea
Stocks have been churning higher lately after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated rate hikes are likely off the table , a position that investors expect is a bullish event for equities. A strong earnings season, as well as some cooler labor data , also have investors more optimistic in this year's outlook. On Friday, all three major averages are on pace for a winning week, with the 30-stock index up by more than 2%. The market reaction Inflation data has been crucially important this year for investors. Export Price Index (April) 8:30 a.m. Housing Starts (April) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mike Dickson, Stocks, Dickson, Jeff Buchbinder, Buchbinder, Strategas, Jason De Sena Trennert, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Charles Schwab, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Horizon Investments, Nasdaq, UBS, Investments, ICE, Fed, LPL, Asset Management, Walmart, Deere, Retail, Cisco, Price, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Manufacturing, Materials Locations: NAHB
Bank of America says do not sell in May and go away
  + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Investors should ignore the adage about selling off equities in May as a big preelection summer rally could be coming, according to Bank of America. "Do not sell in May and go away," Stephen Suttmeier, the firm's technical research strategist, told clients in a Tuesday note. He pointed to the fact that June through August has been the second strongest three-month stretch for the S & P 500 for all years since 1928. In those three months alone, the broad market index has gained 65% of the time with an average return of 3.2%, according to Bank of America data. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD And there's a key factor Suttmeier sees changing the narrative for the better this year: the presidential election.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, It's, Jerome Powell, Suttmeier, Williams Organizations: Bank of America, Dow Jones, Federal
"This relief rally in equities is questionable at best," wrote chief market technician Craig Johnson. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 this year Year to date, the S & P 500 is up more than 8%, with the low end of the firm's range suggesting the benchmark could fall 10% from Friday's close. When an asset breaks above its 50-day moving average, it is seen as a sign of strong momentum. The S & P 500 on Monday rose, breaking above its 50-day moving average. The Nasdaq is also trading above its 50-day average.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Stocks Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq Locations: Friday's, U.S
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 66 points, or around 0.2%. Last week, the Dow and Nasdaq gained 1.1% and 1.4% each, while the S&P 500 gained 0.5%. But the April jobs report helps clear a path to that destination," said Comerica Bank chief economist Bill Adams. While the peak of the first-quarter earnings season has passed, investors are still watching key companies set to report this week, including Dow member Disney on Tuesday and Uber on Wednesday. On the economic front, Richmond Fed president Tom Barkin and New York Fed president John Williams are both scheduled to speak on Monday.
Persons: Dow, Bill Adams, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Uber, Emmanuel Cau, Tom Barkin, John Williams Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, U.S ., Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Traders, Comerica Bank, Apple, Disney, Barclays, Richmond Fed, New York Fed Locations: New York City, U.S, U.S . U.S
In 2017, at 19 years old, Jack Kellogg became interested in stock trading. AdvertisementIn 2023, he took advantage of the AI hype by trading stocks within that theme. He then reviews these stocks' price movements over the previous three to two weeks. Where it's set depends on how much he's willing to risk on each position and varies based on the stock's price movements. While he's agnostic about the stock's cap size, he favors swing trading mid and sometimes small-cap stocks.
Persons: Jack Kellogg, Timothy Sykes, Kellogg, Kellogg wasn't Organizations: Business, BI, Trust, Nvidia, CXApp Inc
The Fed and economic policy were top of mind this week given the central bank's Wednesday decision to yet again leave interest rates unchanged , as it has since last summer. This week included the conclusion of April's trading month, which marked the first down month of the year for all three major market averages. Indeed, some recent earnings reports have raised doubts about the economy, with brands from McDonald's and Starbucks evidencing signs of strain among consumers. While no new inflation numbers are scheduled for release next week, investors will see reports on March wholesale inventories, March consumer credit and May consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan. AI trade Though interest rates took center stage this week, investors also continued monitoring companies tied to the artificial intelligence boom amid the stocks' recent choppiness.
Persons: they're, Jerome Powell, Larry Tentarelli, David Donabedian, Sam Stovall, There's, Stovall, Tom Hainlin, Tentarelli, CFRA's Stovall, Lyft, Cabot, Aramark, Tempur Sealy, Nikola, Walt Disney, Sally Beauty, Warby Parker, Krispy Kreme, Papa John's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CIBC Private Wealth, Dow, CFRA, Citigroup, Bank of America, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, University of Michigan, Nvidia, Disney, Spirit Airlines, Tyson Foods, Pharmaceuticals, Lucid, Palantir Technologies, Simon Property, Tech, Lab, Goodyear Tire, Noble Corp, Vornado Realty, Coty, BellRing, Consumer, UBS, BP, Nintendo, Bloomin, Duke Energy, Rockwell Automation, Ferrari, NRG Energy, Electronic Arts, Cirrus, Adaptive Biotech, Arista Networks, Dutch Bros, Holdings, Virgin Galactic, IAC, Rivian Automotive, Brighthouse, Occidental Petroleum, Assurant, Kinross Gold, Labs, Diamond, Reddit, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Embraer, Health, United Parks & Resorts, Emerson Electric, Brookfield , New York Times, Food, Reynolds Consumer Products, Teva Pharma, Uber Technologies, Dine Brands, Liberty Broadband, Fox Corp, Cushman &, Liberty Media, Arm Holdings, Kodiak Gas Services, Solaredge Technologies, AMC Entertainment, Cheesecake, News Corp, Toyota Motors, Fair, US Foods, Hyatt Hotels, Warner Bros, Hilton, Warner Music Group, Unity Software, Insurance, Gen, Honda, AMC Networks Locations: Central, McDonald's, Expeditors, Occidental, Angi, Brookfield , New, Ambev, Cushman & Wakefield, Michigan
CNBC's Inside India newsletter: Will AI make or break India?
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +9 min
But one that could foreshadow India's growth story. Can Teleperformance's stock plunge be the canary in the coal mine for what is likely to happen to India because of AI? But it's likely to be a blip for India's growth trajectory, given the macro forces at play. Besides creating jobs that are less likely to be immediately disrupted by AI, India could also be a net beneficiary of artificial intelligence. The Indian stock market indexes, Sensex and Nifty 50 , are heading for a positive week again — up by 1% and 1.2%, respectively.
Persons: Findlay Kember, Klarna, ChatGPT, K Krithivasan, Krithivasan, Narendra Modi, It's, Shilan Shah, Goldman Sachs, Vinay Dwivedi, Ashok Gulati, Nomura, League Pickleball, Karine Jean, Pierre, Jerome Powell, Raghuram Rajan, Ashish Jain, CNBC's Ayushi Jindal Organizations: AFP, Getty, India's Tata Consultancy Services, Financial Times, TCS, World Bank, International Monetary Fund, University of Oxford, Capital Economics, Investment, Nomura, Qualcomm, Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing, UPI, India, Commission, Agricultural, United Pickleball Association, Global Sports, PPA, League, Washington Post, White, U.S ., Federal, CNBC, Reserve Bank of India, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Locations: Swedish, Paris, India, Chennai, U.S, Europe, China, Singapore, South Korea, Canada, United States
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell, doesn't, Stanley Black, Decker, toolmaker Stanley Black, Estee Lauder, Locker, Jim, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Linde, Marshalls, TJX Companies, Health, Apple, Coterra, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: China
S&P 500 futures slipped Tuesday night as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's rate policy decision. Futures linked to the broad market index slipped 0.22%, while Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.42%. During Tuesday's main trading session, the Dow and S&P 500 both shed more than 1%. Bond yields jumped after the first quarter's employment cost index came in higher than anticipated, reigniting worries that the Fed will keep interest rates high. "The concern is that the Fed will definitely be slower to lower interest rates," said CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall.
Persons: reigniting, Dow, Jerome Powell, Sam Stovall, Kraft Heinz, DoorDash Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Amazon, Dow, Traders, Fed, Pfizer, Kraft, CVS Health, Qualcomm Locations: New York City
The global emerging markets fund managed by Aubrey Capital has achieved impressive returns over the past decade. This approach has helped the Aubrey Global Emerging Markets Opportunities Fund to post returns of 13.8% over the past year, nearly double the MSCI Emerging Market Index 's 8.2% gain. Aubrey's investment approach is based on its Global Emerging Markets Strategy , which oversees nearly $600 million of assets. Out of about 2,000 consumer-facing companies in the emerging markets universe, Aubrey is only invested in about 35. Nearly half the Aubrey Global Emerging Markets Opportunities Fund is invested in India.
Persons: Aubrey Capital, Mark Martyrossian, Aubrey, Martyrossian, Taiwan's, It's, Varun Organizations: Aubrey, CNBC, Aubrey Global, Fund, Global, PepsiCo, Companies, Arca Continental, Burger King, Arcos Dorados, DLF Locations: Turkey, South Africa, Hong Kong, China, India, United States, Mexico, Brazil, Delhi, Mumbai
Investors shouldn't get too scared by the recent market pullback, according to Bank of America. The firm believes the recent downside movement is a promising entry point before the market returns to green this summer. April marks the worst month for the S & P 500 since September 2023 as investors' expectations for rate cuts fell on hot economic data. As of Tuesday morning, the S & P 500 was last trading around 5,100. The S & P 500 has tested its 5,000 support level, Suttmeier added.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America Locations: upsides
Answering that question assumes understanding why we use the S & P 500 in the first place. While the Dow heavily favors industrial businesses — steel, chemicals, autos, oil and gas — the S & P 500 offers a more diverse representation. Also, the S & P 500 index is weighted by market value, which makes sense to professional investors. While certainly not a proxy for the S & P 500, it provides more exposure to other industries and stocks. As shown below, the equal-weighted S & P 500 has slightly outperformed the S & P 500 over the past 20 years.
Persons: I've, Gamble, Karen Firestone Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Apple, Procter, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Bloomberg, Goldman, Commodities, Asset Management
Last night data security firm Rubrik priced 23.5 million shares at $32, above the price talk of 23 million shares at $28-$31, raising $752 million. Rubrik is the first tech unicorn IPO since last fall. Marex Group, a UK-based financial services company known for its global clearing business, priced 15.4 million shares at $19, the midpoint of the price talk of $18-$21, raising $292 million. Loar Holdings, which makes aerospace and defense components, priced 11 million shares at $28, above the range of $24-$26, raising $308 million. All eyes on Rubrik Rubrik is an important test of the tech IPO market.
Persons: Matt Kennedy, Rubrik, Kennedy, Ingram, Del Organizations: Marex, Nasdaq, Loar Holdings, New York Stock Exchange, Viking Holdings, Arm Holdings, Renaissance Capital, UL, Astera Labs, Forge, Companies, Ingram Micro, Epic Locations: Del Monte
Solar panels stand at the Welspun Energy solar power plant in Neemuch, Madhya Pradesh, India. One sector in particular — electrical power transmission — will see $270 billion in financial benefits, according to Goldman Sachs. While utilities like the Power Grid Corporation of India may be perceived as unsexy, compared to growth stocks like Tesla, India plans to promote renewable energy without the taxpayer spending a single rupee. The country has added about 70 gigawatts of solar power capacity over the past decade without piling on further costs by simply maximizing the grid's usage. Currently, state governments in India levy surcharges and taxes on every unit of carbon-intensive energy transmitted through the grid.
Persons: Vivek Prakash, Elon Musk, Narendra Modi, Goldman Sachs, It's, Vinay Dwivedi, India Anna Dravida, Vinay, Modi, Mohamed Muizzu's, Jamie Dimon, Modi's Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S, Power Grid Corporation of India, Goldman, Companies, Reliance Industries, Adani Enterprises, Tamil Nadu —, Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam, India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam, CNBC, Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party, Vodafone Idea, Vodafone, West, Economic, of New, JPMorgan, CNBC Pro, we'll Locations: Neemuch, Madhya Pradesh, India, Tamil Nadu, Dravida, New Delhi, Maldives, China, Beijing, West Indies, Pakistan, U.S, of New York
Part of the problem: People continue to believe common misconceptions about managing and investing their money. When it comes to your retirement savings, target-date funds can be another smart option. Young couple managing finance and investment online, analyzing stock market trades with mobile app on laptop and smartphone. "People feel like, I can get a higher return with no risk … but basically, a higher return is always a reward for higher risk." There's almost no risk to money in federally insured deposit accounts, unlike investments that are subject to the daily changes in the stock, which can result in much higher risk.
Persons: Witthaya, Annamaria Lusardi, Paul Yakoboski, Young, Lusardi, There's Organizations: TIAA, Global Financial, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, TIAA Institute, Target, CNBC, Financial Wellness, Board Locations: U.S
Don't be fooled by Monday's bounce, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic warned. The S & P 500 entered the week down more than 5% from an all-time high reached earlier in the year. A correction is generally defined as a 10% drop from a 52-week high. "Market concentration has been very high, and positioning extended, which are typically red flags, at risk of a reversal." "The combination of these macro factors increases the downside risks, and suggests that more Defensive trading should be appropriate," he added.
Persons: JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic,
If you have your heart set on investing in up-and-coming private companies, options exist, but are limited. Obviously, there is a strong desire to get into hot private market tech companies, even if at an irrational cost. The simplest way to do this would be to float an exchange traded fund, or ETF, that held these private shares. Forge Global launched the Forge Accuity Private Market Index, a market capitalization weighted index that tracks the performance of 60 late-stage venture-backed private companies like SpaceX and Epic Games. Bottom line: there is no easy way to access private shares.
Persons: Tech100, Cathie Wood, Howe Ng, Brett Winton Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, SpaceX, Klarna Bank, Tech100, ARKVX Venture, Forge Global, Epic Games, ARK Investment, Edge
The stock market is poised for a short-term bounce, but technical analysts who watch price charts warn that the correction is not yet over. The technician said he anticipates support for stocks — the point at which buyers will reemerge — between 4,700-4,800 in the S & P 500. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 To be sure, some observers anticipate a more durable stock market rally, rather than a mere bounce. He anticipates that the S & P 500 could find support down at 4,800 and may not find a true bottom for several weeks. But he anticipates that the selloff will take longer to play out, with a pullback bringing the S & P 500 back to 4,700.
Persons: JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, O'Hara, Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, we've, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Wolfe's Rob Ginsberg Organizations: Stocks, Federal Reserve
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